Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.612647 0.680215 0.753307 0.838441 0.935111 1.041737 1.168617
2025-08-10 0.507112 0.600568 0.709649 0.847198 1.017171 1.221818 1.489116
2025-08-17 0.434337 0.536319 0.661414 0.827735 1.045440 1.324021 1.712846
2025-08-24 0.394542 0.504034 0.643930 0.838309 1.105423 1.465583 1.998316
2025-08-31 0.357983 0.470325 0.618795 0.832859 1.139437 1.571863 2.244846
2025-09-07 0.331421 0.446389 0.602974 0.836393 1.183523 1.693934 2.527003
2025-09-14 0.304170 0.418505 0.578318 0.823547 1.200498 1.775584 2.755244
2025-09-21 0.282111 0.395770 0.558458 0.814869 1.221339 1.863374 3.002613
2025-09-28 0.256728 0.366043 0.525655 0.782956 1.201654 1.882996 3.135504
2025-10-05 0.246899 0.358460 0.525025 0.800463 1.262235 2.039818 3.529191
2025-10-12 0.237034 0.349943 0.522043 0.813489 1.316005 2.190161 3.931995
2025-10-19 0.226865 0.340126 0.516091 0.820749 1.360042 2.327449 4.329286
2025-10-26 0.216256 0.329087 0.507667 0.823613 1.397555 2.459014 4.740360
2025-11-02 0.207483 0.320408 0.502445 0.831514 1.445009 2.615160 5.229505
2025-11-09 0.194485 0.303934 0.483015 0.812491 1.440001 2.667901 5.501855
2025-11-16 0.187839 0.297541 0.480109 0.822835 1.491839 2.840396 6.073683
2025-11-23 0.179077 0.286998 0.469267 0.817503 1.512109 2.949572 6.515493
2025-11-30 0.172427 0.279637 0.463436 0.820960 1.550112 3.100717 7.086910
2025-12-07 0.163813 0.268349 0.449860 0.808393 1.553683 3.176368 7.479760
2025-12-14 0.156433 0.258816 0.438840 0.799902 1.564897 3.270409 7.938672
2025-12-21 0.146351 0.243947 0.417188 0.768674 1.524236 3.239461 8.049897
2025-12-28 0.143571 0.242060 0.419450 0.785806 1.591193 3.471825 8.951920
2026-01-04 0.140344 0.239165 0.419601 0.798551 1.649563 3.691101 9.864473